A signal is a meaningful change that is likely to persist long enough to impact fantasy outcomes. We focus on two families of change:
Usage changes: playing time, lineup slot, leverage, rotation stability, platoon exposure.
Under-the-hood movement: contact quality, approach, whiff rates, command indicators, velocity drift.
When a change becomes actionable: now, soon, or watch only.
We translate signals into one of four primary actions, written in plain language:
| Action | Meaning | Typical use |
|---|---|---|
| Add / Stash | Value is likely to rise relative to availability | Waivers, bench planning, category targets |
| Start / Stream | Short-window advantage is present | Weekly lineups, matchups, schedule edges |
| Hold | Noise is present but role or skill remains stable | Avoid churn and unnecessary drops |
| Fade / Drop | Risk outweighs the upside in the near term | Bench optimization, avoiding landmines |
Every call includes a confidence label. Confidence is not certainty - it is a measure of alignment across inputs.
Role and supporting indicators align. Action is recommended now for most formats.
Signal is present, but one variable needs confirmation. Action depends on league depth.
Early indicator. Best used for watch lists and deep stashes.
We emphasize process quality. The goal is to be early and useful, not loud.
How often an actionable change is flagged before broad consensus.
How often a flagged change fades quickly without meaningful impact.
Whether higher confidence calls outperform lower confidence calls over time.
We avoid hype. This keeps the product trustworthy and keeps expectations realistic.